BTC Price Decline Under 87K and Market Reaction of Bitcoin’s Rollercoaster Ride

Bitcoin investors have experienced a turbulent few weeks as the cryptocurrency has shed nearly 20% of its value since reaching an all-time high of $109,000 just five weeks ago.

The decline, which saw Bitcoin dip below $87,000 on Tuesday, is attributed to a mix of economic uncertainty, speculative excesses, and external market shocks.

The downturn began following a speculative frenzy surrounding memecoins, many of which were launched on the Solana blockchain.

The fervor reached its peak with the introduction of TRUMP and MELANIA tokens, which initially surged but quickly plummeted, leaving most investors with heavy losses.

Solana’s native token (SOL) has since dropped by more than 50%, leading the decline across the broader crypto market.

As of this writing on February 26, 2025, BTC is trading at $88,718 with various indicators declining. The current BTC RSI value is even below 30 which indicates a very high selling trend for this token. In fact, the BTC MACD line also continues to fall which indicates that Bitcoin bearish will really happen if the price continues to fall.

The Bybit Hack and Broader Implications

Bitcoin managed to hold steady despite the memecoin collapse, but another major blow came in the form of the Bybit hack. 

The security breach, which led to the theft of $1.5 billion worth of digital assets, sent shockwaves through the crypto ecosystem.

While Bitcoin itself was not directly affected, the exploit exposed vulnerabilities in Ethereum-based systems, leading to a sharp sell-off in ETH and other cryptocurrencies, which in turn dragged BTC lower.

Investor Sentiment and Market Forecasts

The recent decline has led to divided opinions among analysts. Some, like the well-known Bitcoin bull StackHodler, argue that the market has yet to reach its cycle peak, predicting a rebound beyond $108,000 in 2025.

However, others, including Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick, have warned that Bitcoin could fall to the low $80,000s before presenting an attractive buying opportunity.

Kendrick believes that before a meaningful rebound, the market will likely witness a significant day of ETF outflows, surpassing the current record of $583 million.

Economic Uncertainty and Federal Reserve Policy

Bitcoin’s struggles are not happening in isolation. Broader financial markets have also stumbled, with the S&P 500 experiencing its worst week since Donald Trump’s inauguration.

The NASDAQ has declined 5% from its December peak, as concerns about tariffs and economic policy have increased investor caution.

Trump recently reaffirmed his commitment to implementing tariffs on Mexico and Canada, a move that has raised fears of inflation resurgence.

Investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s response, particularly Friday’s core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, which could influence expectations for future interest rate cuts.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has fallen from 4.80% to 4.32% in anticipation of looser monetary policy, a shift that could ultimately be bullish for Bitcoin in the long term.

The Future of Memecoins and the Broader Crypto Market

The memecoin craze, which fueled much of the speculative fervor in early 2025, may be nearing its end.

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan has suggested that the downfall of tokens like MELANIA and LIBRA marks the end of the memecoin boom, predicting that their popularity will fade within six months. Over the past 24 hours, LIBRA has dropped 20%, MELANIA 23%, and TRUMP 11%.

MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Holdings and Market Speculation

One major Bitcoin holder feeling the heat is MicroStrategy (now rebranded as Strategy). The firm’s stock (MSTR) has dropped 11% in the past 24 hours, and its total decline from its November peak now stands at 55%. Strategy holds 499,096 BTC worth $43.7 billion, with an average purchase price of $66,350 per coin.

While some investors fear the company may be forced to liquidate its Bitcoin holdings, analysts argue that this scenario is unlikely given the structure of its 0% convertible notes, most of which do not mature until 2028.

Government Policy and Future Prospects

The Trump administration’s stance on cryptocurrency remains a key market driver. While initial excitement about a pro-crypto White House fueled Bitcoin’s rally past $100,000, skepticism has grown as concrete policies have yet to materialize.

A working group has been established to explore regulatory and legislative proposals, but any major policy shifts are likely months away.

Additionally, a proposed Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, which was speculated to include $20 billion in government-held Bitcoin, has yet to move beyond initial discussions.

Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis has suggested that the U.S. government should purchase 1 million BTC over five years, but Congressional approval remains a significant hurdle.

Conclusion: The Road Ahead

Bitcoin’s path forward remains uncertain, with key variables including regulatory developments, macroeconomic trends, and investor sentiment. While the recent dip has prompted caution among analysts, some see this as a necessary correction before a larger bullish cycle takes hold.

As the market digests recent events, Bitcoin investors will be watching closely for any signs of renewed strength or further weakness in the weeks ahead.